Fulton T. Armstrong
fultona_at_american.edu

bmbs/URJC/01_URJC_Day_One.pdf

bmbs/URJC/02_URJC_Day_Two.pdf

bmbs/URJC/03_URJC_Day_Three.pdf

bmbs/URJC/04_URJC_Day_Four.pdf

bmbs/URJC/2022-09_Handouts_FINAL.pdf

Handouts
- septiembre 2019 -

Favor de imprimir una copia por cada almuno más una o dos extras.

0 Cover sheet and some basics two-sided* and stapled
A. Student Intros and Decisionmaking one-sided
B. Drivers (new) two-sided
C Exercise on drivers two-sided
D. Tradecraft model (new) one-sided
E. Tradecraft overview one-sided
F. Basic product format one-sided
G. How to write analysis one-sided
H. Building analysis – part ONE one-sided
I. Preparation for exercise one-sided
J. Probabilities (new) two-sided
K. Building analysis – part TWO two-sided
L. Brainstorming one-sided
M. Politicization one-sided
N. Building analysis – EXAMPLE two-sided
O. Building analysis empty worksheet for future two-sided
P. Snowflake exercise one-sided
Q. Briefing preparation (timed segments) two-sided
R. Exercise roles (two-sided with analyst and decisor) two-sided
S. Other briefing prep sheet one-sided
T. Writing exercise worksheet two-sided and stapled
    *una hoja, ambas caras

 

 

BIBLIOGRAFÍA Y RECURSOS 

ARMSTRONG, F.  “Sorting Out National Interests: Ways to Make Analysis Relevant but Not Prescriptive.”  Studies in Intelligence V46:3-37-43 2002.  (Click here.)

BARRY, J y DAVIS, J y GRIES, D y SULLIVAN, J.  “Bridging the Intelligence-Policy Divide.”  Studies in Intelligence v37:5-1-8 1994.  (Click here.)

BERNS, D.  “In Hard Times, Fear can Impair Decision-Making.”  The New York Times 7 Dec 2008.  (Click here.)

BLAKESLEE, S.  “What Other People Say May Change What You See.”  The New York Times 28 Jun 2005.  (Click here.)

CAIN,S.  “The Rise of the New Groupthink.”  The New York Times 13 Jan 2012.  (Click here.)

CIGLER, A y LOOMIS, B (ed).  (2002).  Interest Group Politics.  Washington, DC: CQ Press.  (Click here.)

DAVIDSON, L.  (2009)  Foreign Policy, Inc.: Privatizing America’s National Interest.  Lexington, KY: University Press of Kentucky.  (Click here.)

HEUER, R.  (1999)  Psychology of Intelligence Analysis.  Washington, DC: Center for Study of Intelligence.  (Click here.)

JONES, M.  (1998).  The Thinker’s Toolkit: Fourteen Powerful Techniques for Problem Solving.”  New York: Random House.  (Click here.)

LAW, S.  (2003)  The Philosophy Gym: 25 Short Adventures in Thinking.  New York: St. Martin’s Press.  (Click here.)

Office of the Director of National Intelligence.  “Community Directive (ICD) Number 203: Analytic Standards.”  WWW.DNI.GOV.  21 Jun 2007.  (Click here.)

Office of the Director of National Intelligence.  “Community Directive (ICD) Number 206:. “Sourcing Requirements for Disseminated Intelligence Analytic Products.”  WWW.DNI.GOV.  17 Oct 2007.  (Click here.)

U.S. Code. (2007).  The National Security Act of 1947, as amended.  (Click here.)